{"canonical_id_v02":"d5fa0b418551","identity":{"artist":"Adam Paquette","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/5/a/5a9db48e-9231-4692-9cee-77f2141c63ff.jpg?1783931129","locale":"en","name":"Cinder Glade","number":"263","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"commander-2020","set_name":"Commander 2020","set_slug":"commander-2020","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"dd33b3c6ef9b37c9","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-08-30T16:37:28Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T19:07:18.897469+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T19:07:18.897469+00:00","listed_median":0.4,"market_price":0.39}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-08-29T19:07:18.897469+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":0.4,"latest_market_price":0.39,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":61,"tcgcsv_forward":873},"as_of_date":"2026-08-29","ath_date":"2024-05-22","ath_price":1.96,"atl_date":"2024-09-05","atl_price":0.18,"canonical_id_v02":"d5fa0b418551","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":38,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-80.1,"current_price":0.39,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-08-29","history_n_obs":934,"history_n_obs_series":934,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-25","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-09-08","delta_pct":27.8,"label":"+28% day-over-day","price":0.23,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-09-05","delta_pct":-90.8,"label":"-91% off peak","price":0.18,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-08-12","delta_pct":-27,"label":"-27% day-over-day","price":0.27,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-05-18","delta_pct":35,"label":"+35% day-over-day","price":1.66,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-05-09","delta_pct":31,"label":"+31% day-over-day","price":0.93,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":63,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-19","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":9,"DRAWDOWN":61,"HEATED":30},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":14,"DRAWDOWN":41,"HEATED":45},"regime_run_length_days":10,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-04-18","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-05-10","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-06-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-13","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-02","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-24","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-28","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-26","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-31","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-27","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-16","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-08-19","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":14.71,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":8.33,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":13.88,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":-7.14,"return_30d_pct":8.33,"return_7d_pct":0,"return_90d_pct":18.18,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-07-30","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":0.39}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-05-31","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-02","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-04","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-06","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":0.33},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":0.37},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":0.35},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":0.36},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":0.34},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":0.4},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":0.39},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":0.39}],"series_key":"212371|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Cinder%20Glade%20Commander%202020&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Cinder%20Glade","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Cinder%20Glade%20Commander%202020&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"d5fa0b418551","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/d5fa0b418551","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/dd33b3c6ef9b37c9/d5.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}