{"canonical_id_v02":"d9974f0d2716","identity":{"artist":"Mike Raabe","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/0/9/09dd9023-f7ee-4e99-8821-7059deb83730.jpg?1783947452","locale":"en","name":"Adarkar Wastes","number":"326","rarity":"rare","series_slug":"ice-age","set_name":"Ice Age","set_slug":"ice-age","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"00f025b89d744f40","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-06T18:07:23Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T03:14:43.116563+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T03:14:43.116563+00:00","listed_median":25.5,"market_price":25.93}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397 probes: 8 games, 43 rows, nearest condition NM 42/43 — Wilson 95% 88-100% — cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2% by bucket timing; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T03:14:43.116563+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":25.5,"latest_market_price":25.93,"primary_printing":"Normal","primary_printing_in_record":"Normal","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":61,"tcgcsv_forward":880},"as_of_date":"2026-09-06","ath_date":"2025-06-01","ath_price":26.8,"atl_date":"2024-02-08","atl_price":11.9,"canonical_id_v02":"d9974f0d2716","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":2.05,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-0.65,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":0.31,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":55,"DRAWDOWN":19,"HEATED":26},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-vintage_secondary","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":1.76,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-3.25,"current_price":25.93,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-06","history_n_distinct_closes":189,"history_n_obs":942,"history_n_obs_series":942,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-06-14","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-05","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-16","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-12-13","delta_pct":-36.7,"label":"-37% off peak","price":16.97,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2025-09-30","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":85,"regime_entered_date":"2026-06-14","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":41,"DRAWDOWN":48,"HEATED":11},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":54,"DRAWDOWN":22,"HEATED":24},"regime_run_length_days":84,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-05-17","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-05-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-08-19","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2024-08-31","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-09-18","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2024-10-14","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2024-10-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-01-10","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-04-08","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-23","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-18","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-19","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-30","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-09","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-15","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-06-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":2.05,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-0.65,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-1.45,"series_printing":"Normal","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":23.89,"return_30d_pct":-0.65,"return_7d_pct":2.09,"return_90d_pct":0.31,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-07","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":26.43},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":26.43},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":26.39},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":26.41},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":26.41},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":26.41},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":26.33},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":26.33},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":25.4},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":25.4},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":25.4},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":25.74},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":25.9},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":25.93},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":25.93},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":25.93},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":25.93}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-08","price":25.85},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":25.89},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":26.13},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":26.13},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":26.53},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":26.53},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":26.52},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":26.52},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":26.12},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":26.1},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":26.43},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":26.41},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":26.41},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":26.33},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":25.41},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":25.4},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":25.4},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":25.9},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":25.93},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":25.93}],"series_key":"4578|Normal","series_printing":"Normal"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Adarkar%20Wastes%20Ice%20Age&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Adarkar%20Wastes","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Adarkar%20Wastes%20Ice%20Age&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"d9974f0d2716","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/d9974f0d2716","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/00f025b89d744f40/d9.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}