{"canonical_id_v02":"e746a438c6ab","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"onepiece","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/693396_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Monkey.D.Luffy","number":"ST30-012","rarity":"SR","series_slug":"starter-deck-ex-luffy-ace","set_name":"Starter Deck EX: Luffy & Ace","set_slug":"starter-deck-ex-luffy-ace","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"ca62efeb612e1750","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T13:20:00Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:56:36.142190+00:00","listed_median":3.71,"market_price":2.77},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:56:36.142190+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-12T06:56:36.142190+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":3.71,"latest_market_price":2.77,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_forward":93},"as_of_date":"2026-09-12","ath_date":"2026-06-11","ath_price":9.43,"atl_date":"2026-08-19","atl_price":1.64,"canonical_id_v02":"e746a438c6ab","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":38.5,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":35.12,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-31.6,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":14,"DRAWDOWN":25,"HEATED":61},"cohort_label":"onepiece-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":-2.41,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-70.63,"current_price":2.77,"history_first_date":"2026-06-11","history_last_date":"2026-09-12","history_n_distinct_closes":92,"history_n_obs":94,"history_n_obs_series":94,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-04","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-19","delta_pct":-82.6,"label":"-83% off peak","price":1.64,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2026-06-13","delta_pct":-28.9,"label":"-29% day-over-day","prev_price":4.81,"price":3.42,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-12","delta_pct":-49,"label":"-49% day-over-day","prev_price":9.43,"price":4.81,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":52,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-04","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":10,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":90},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":10,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":90},"regime_run_length_days":8,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-09-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":38.5,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":35.12,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-29.19,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":19.28,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":94,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":-50.88,"set_movers_share_90d":1,"set_n_90d":22,"set_slug":"starter-deck-ex-luffy-ace"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":35.122,"return_7d_pct":16.8776,"return_90d_pct":-31.6049,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-13","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":2.18},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":2.31},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":2.23},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":1.86},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":1.67},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":1.67},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":1.93},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.04},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.33},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.19},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":2.04},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":2.37},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":2.33},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":2.52},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":2.7},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":2.61},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":2.68},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":2.82},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":2.77}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-14","price":4.05},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":4.62},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":4.44},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":4.5},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":4.62},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":4.81},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":4.49},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":4.49},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":4.47},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":4.2},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":3.65},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":4.01},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":4.31},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":3.64},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":3.25},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":3.39},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":3.29},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":3.37},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":3.39},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":3.03},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":2.76},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":2.62},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":2.66},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":2.45},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":2.06},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":1.86},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":1.88},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":2.18},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":2.23},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":1.64},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":1.69},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.02},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.11},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.19},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.05},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.47},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":2.33},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":2.7},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":2.68},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":2.77}],"series_key":"693396|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Monkey.D.Luffy%20Starter%20Deck%20EX%3A%20Luffy%20%26%20Ace&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Monkey.D.Luffy%20Starter%20Deck%20EX%3A%20Luffy%20%26%20Ace&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"e746a438c6ab","game":"onepiece","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/e746a438c6ab","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/onepiece/builds/ca62efeb612e1750/e7.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}