{"canonical_id_v02":"ebd806893108","identity":{"artist":"akagi","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/zsv10pt5/147.png","locale":"en","name":"Haxorus","number":"147/086","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"sv-black-bolt","set_name":"Sv Black Bolt","set_slug":"sv-black-bolt","vintage":"nascent"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"39004ef3ed004fa7","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-12T10:11:01Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-11T20:59:32.854977+00:00","listed_median":72.67,"market_price":66.29}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-11T20:59:32.854977+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":72.67,"latest_market_price":66.29,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":46,"tcgcsv_forward":375},"as_of_date":"2026-09-11","ath_date":"2026-07-11","ath_price":76.79,"atl_date":"2025-09-09","atl_price":38.23,"canonical_id_v02":"09421f835a4e","canonical_id_v03":"ebd806893108","canonical_id_v1":"bed40da41dac","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-6.84,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-11.98,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-13.16,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":20,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":3.33,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-13.67,"current_price":66.29,"history_first_date":"2025-07-18","history_last_date":"2026-09-11","history_n_distinct_closes":337,"history_n_obs":422,"history_n_obs_series":421,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-06-22","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-20","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-13","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-10","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-09-09","delta_pct":-45.4,"label":"-45% off peak","price":38.23,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":72,"regime_entered_date":"2026-06-22","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":22,"DRAWDOWN":53,"HEATED":25},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":22,"DRAWDOWN":49,"HEATED":29},"regime_run_length_days":81,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-08-02","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-10","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-13","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-19","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-20","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-12","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-19","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-22","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-6.84,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-11.98,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-16.49,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-15.11,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":1.95,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9783,"set_n_90d":323,"set_slug":"sv-black-bolt"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":71.2477,"return_30d_pct":-11.9772,"return_7d_pct":-3.6202,"return_90d_pct":-13.1648,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-12","price":75.31},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":75.77},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":75.68},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":75.7},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":75.37},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":75.16},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":75.16},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":75.16},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":74.6},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":73.84},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":73.03},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":73.03},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":72.94},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":72.94},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":72.11},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":71.59},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":71.16},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":70.02},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":69.82},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":69.35},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":69.26},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":68.99},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":68.78},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":68.78},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":67.67},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":67.21},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":66.8},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":66.87},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":66.59},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":66.43},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":66.29}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-13","price":76.34},{"date":"2026-06-15","price":76.05},{"date":"2026-06-17","price":75.74},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":75.78},{"date":"2026-06-21","price":74.66},{"date":"2026-06-23","price":73.41},{"date":"2026-06-25","price":71.76},{"date":"2026-06-27","price":71.86},{"date":"2026-06-29","price":73},{"date":"2026-07-01","price":72.88},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":73.88},{"date":"2026-07-05","price":75.6},{"date":"2026-07-07","price":75.79},{"date":"2026-07-09","price":76.08},{"date":"2026-07-11","price":76.79},{"date":"2026-07-13","price":76.08},{"date":"2026-07-15","price":76.23},{"date":"2026-07-17","price":76.15},{"date":"2026-07-19","price":76.53},{"date":"2026-07-21","price":76.59},{"date":"2026-07-23","price":76.57},{"date":"2026-07-25","price":75.42},{"date":"2026-07-27","price":75.4},{"date":"2026-07-29","price":75.39},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":75.39},{"date":"2026-08-02","price":75.39},{"date":"2026-08-04","price":75.32},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":75.32},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":75.31},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":75.39},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":75.31},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":75.68},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":75.37},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":75.16},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":74.6},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":73.03},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":72.94},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":72.11},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":71.16},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":69.82},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":69.26},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":68.78},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":67.67},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":66.8},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":66.59},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":66.29}],"series_key":"642601|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Haxorus%20Sv%20Black%20Bolt&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/haxorus","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Haxorus%20Sv%20Black%20Bolt&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"ebd806893108","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/ebd806893108","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/39004ef3ed004fa7/eb.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}