{"canonical_id_v02":"eec047af5a84","canonical_url_id":"eec047af5a84","identity":{"artist":"Filipe Laurentino","game":"lorcana","grade":"raw","image_url":null,"locale":"en","name":"Mickey Mouse - Leader of the Band","number":"34","rarity":"Promo","series_slug":"disney-lorcana-promo-cards","set_name":"Promo Set 1","set_slug":"promo-set-1","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"2ab61f435aa9b33d","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-19T13:43:41Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.2"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-18T23:18:41.695033+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":7.02},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-18T23:18:41.695033+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-18T23:18:41.695033+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":7.02,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Cold Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":106,"tcgcsv_forward":745},"as_of_date":"2026-09-18","ath_date":"2026-06-27","ath_price":22.48,"atl_date":"2025-06-13","atl_price":0.42,"canonical_id_v02":"eec047af5a84","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":"eec047af5a84","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":60.27,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":100.57,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-63.8,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":9,"DRAWDOWN":31,"HEATED":60},"cohort_label":"lorcana-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-68.77,"current_price":7.02,"history_first_date":"2024-05-21","history_last_date":"2026-09-18","history_n_distinct_closes":509,"history_n_obs":852,"history_n_obs_series":851,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-07","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-06","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-26","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-06-19","delta_pct":64.3,"label":"+64% day-over-day","prev_price":11.25,"price":18.48,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-17","delta_pct":27.7,"label":"+28% day-over-day","prev_price":7.44,"price":9.5,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-12","delta_pct":31.5,"label":"+31% day-over-day","prev_price":3.56,"price":4.68,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-06-07","delta_pct":26.1,"label":"+26% day-over-day","prev_price":2.64,"price":3.33,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2025-06-13","delta_pct":-96.8,"label":"-97% off peak","price":0.42,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":95,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-07","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":39,"HEATED":61},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":0,"DRAWDOWN":41,"HEATED":59},"regime_run_length_days":11,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-09-21","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-09-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-25","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-10-05","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-14","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-22","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-27","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-29","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-06","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-22","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-03-24","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-04-28","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-29","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-05-14","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-24","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-07-26","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-06","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-09-07","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":60.27,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":100.57,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-63.8,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-77.59,"series_printing":"Cold Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":13.79,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9474,"set_n_90d":38,"set_slug":"promo-set-1"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":1495.4545,"return_30d_pct":100.5714,"return_7d_pct":31.9549,"return_90d_pct":-63.7958,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-19","price":3.5},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":3.5},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.35},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":3.35},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":3.35},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":3.52},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":3.52},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":3.52},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":3.5},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":3.54},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":3.56},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":3.7},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":3.8},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":3.76},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":3.97},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":3.97},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":4.38},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":4.52},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":4.86},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":5.08},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":5.15},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":5.21},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":5.32},{"date":"2026-09-11","price":5.32},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":5.85},{"date":"2026-09-13","price":6.1},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":6.1},{"date":"2026-09-15","price":6.34},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":6.45},{"date":"2026-09-17","price":6.92},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":7.02}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-20","price":19.39},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":21.05},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":21.94},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":22.35},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":20.03},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":16.04},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":12.73},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":10.68},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":10.24},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":9.66},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":7.86},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":7.75},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":7.1},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":6.9},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":6.65},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":6},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":5.9},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":5.72},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":5.39},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":4.75},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":3.9},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":3.6},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":3.4},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":3.4},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":3.81},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":3.86},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":3.91},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":3.95},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":3.94},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":3.42},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":3.5},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.35},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":3.35},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":3.52},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":3.5},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":3.56},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":3.8},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":3.97},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":4.38},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":4.86},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":5.15},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":5.32},{"date":"2026-09-12","price":5.85},{"date":"2026-09-14","price":6.1},{"date":"2026-09-16","price":6.45},{"date":"2026-09-18","price":7.02}],"series_key":"551695|Cold Foil","series_printing":"Cold Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Mickey%20Mouse%20-%20Leader%20of%20the%20Band%20Promo%20Set%201&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Mickey%20Mouse%20-%20Leader%20of%20the%20Band%20Promo%20Set%201&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"eec047af5a84","game":"lorcana","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/eec047af5a84","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/lorcana/builds/2ab61f435aa9b33d/ee.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}