{"canonical_id_v02":"f09306bf1760","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/sv8/211.png","locale":"en","name":"Appletun","number":"211/191","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"sv08-surging-sparks","set_name":"Sv08 Surging Sparks","set_slug":"sv08-surging-sparks","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":9.26}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":9.26,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":82,"tcgcsv_forward":587},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2024-11-05","ath_price":11.81,"atl_date":"2024-11-28","atl_price":2.97,"canonical_id_v02":"ce75eadf7f62","canonical_id_v03":"f09306bf1760","canonical_id_v1":"e6ed3a9dcadf","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":20.73,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":13.76,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":25.3,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.33,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-21.59,"current_price":9.26,"history_first_date":"2024-11-05","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":652,"history_n_obs":669,"history_n_obs_series":669,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-09-04","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-09-03","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-08-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-18","delta_pct":26.2,"label":"+26% day-over-day","price":8.04,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-03-13","delta_pct":26,"label":"+26% day-over-day","price":6.64,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-11-28","delta_pct":-74.9,"label":"-75% off peak","price":2.97,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-11-08","delta_pct":-55.9,"label":"-56% day-over-day","price":4.45,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":100,"regime_entered_date":"2026-09-04","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":24,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":76},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":15,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":85},"regime_run_length_days":0,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-02-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-02-05","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-02","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-15","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-22","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-25","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-04","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-05","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-13","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-08-15","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-27","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-09-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-09-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":20.73,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":12.43,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":19.05,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":181,"n_candidates":1,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":97.02,"return_30d_pct":13.76,"return_7d_pct":11.3,"return_90d_pct":25.3,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.14},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":7.58},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":7.63},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":7.79},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":7.78},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":7.83},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":7.78},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":7.63},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":7.97},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":8.33},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.32},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":8.51},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.21},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":7.8},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":7.56},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":7.84},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":7.67},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":7.66},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":7.67},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":7.88},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":7.9},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":8.09},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.23},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":8.32},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":8.8},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":8.45},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":8.6},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":9.26}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":7.39},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":7.99},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":8.02},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":8.47},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":7.72},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":7.27},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":7.78},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":8.33},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":8.25},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":8.09},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":8.21},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":8.53},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":8.77},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":8.05},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":7.16},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":7.77},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":7.5},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":7.59},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":7.84},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":8.14},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":7.55},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":6.97},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":7.1},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":7.14},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":7.15},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":7.49},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":7.18},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":7.32},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":8.05},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":8.46},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.14},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":7.63},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":7.78},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":7.78},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":7.97},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.32},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.21},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":7.56},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":7.67},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":7.67},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":7.9},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.23},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":8.75},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":9.26}],"series_key":"589865|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Appletun%20Sv08%20Surging%20Sparks&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/appletun","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Appletun%20Sv08%20Surging%20Sparks&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"f09306bf1760","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/f09306bf1760","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/f0.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}