{"canonical_id_v02":"f2e101c824c8","canonical_url_id":"f2e101c824c8","identity":{"artist":null,"game":"fab","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/706948_200w.jpg","locale":"en","name":"Baalghor, Omen of the End","number":"IAR159","rarity":"Rare","series_slug":"usurp-the-shadow-throne-pre-release-cards","set_name":"Usurp the Shadow Throne Pre-release Cards","set_slug":"usurp-the-shadow-throne-pre-release-cards","vintage":"nascent"},"lineage":null,"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"869d15e7ba559752","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-10-18T09:55:29Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.5"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T01:53:28.928877+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":36.43},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T01:53:28.928877+00:00","listed_median":null,"market_price":null}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition; third stratum fu506 (top 8 per game, 24 decidable card rows): NM-consistent +-10% 17/24; 1 LP to the cent, 1 nearest HP at 117x, 2 at 1.7-1.8x NM, 1 NM unpriced; 35 of 64 top rows were sealed)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-10-18T01:53:28.928877+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":36.43,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Rainbow Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_forward":23},"as_of_date":"2026-10-18","ath_date":"2026-09-25","ath_price":48,"ath_since_release_date":null,"ath_since_release_price":null,"atl_date":"2026-10-14","atl_price":36.43,"canonical_id_v02":"f2e101c824c8","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-10.49,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":null,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":null,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":34,"DRAWDOWN":33,"HEATED":33},"cohort_label":"fab-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":0,"cohort_source":"default","current_off_ath_pct":-24.1,"current_price":36.43,"history_first_date":"2026-09-25","history_first_date_series":"2026-09-25","history_last_date":"2026-10-18","history_last_date_series":"2026-10-17","history_n_distinct_closes":15,"history_n_obs":24,"history_n_obs_series":23,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-10-14","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":17,"recent_steps":{"dates":[],"dates_truncated":false,"n":0,"threshold_pct":50,"window_days":120},"regime_entered_date":"2026-10-14","regime_label":"DRAWDOWN","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":78,"DRAWDOWN":22,"HEATED":0},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":78,"DRAWDOWN":22,"HEATED":0},"regime_run_length_days":3,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2026-10-14","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-10.49,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":null,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":null,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":null,"series_printing":"Rainbow Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":22,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":null,"set_movers_share_90d":null,"set_n_90d":null,"set_release_date":null,"set_slug":null},"trajectory":{"return_1y_base":null,"return_1y_pct":null,"return_30d_pct":null,"return_7d_pct":-4.8328,"return_90d_pct":null,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-09-25","price":48},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":44.73},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":42.24},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":41.22},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":41.15},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":41.07},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":40.7},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":40.7},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":40.7},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":39.64},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":39.41},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":39.41},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":39.41},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":39.1},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":38.53},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":38.28},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":38.28},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":37.96},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":37.12},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":36.43},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":36.43},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":36.43},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":36.43}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-09-25","price":48},{"date":"2026-09-26","price":44.73},{"date":"2026-09-27","price":42.24},{"date":"2026-09-28","price":41.22},{"date":"2026-09-29","price":41.15},{"date":"2026-09-30","price":41.07},{"date":"2026-10-01","price":40.7},{"date":"2026-10-02","price":40.7},{"date":"2026-10-03","price":40.7},{"date":"2026-10-04","price":39.64},{"date":"2026-10-05","price":39.41},{"date":"2026-10-06","price":39.41},{"date":"2026-10-07","price":39.41},{"date":"2026-10-08","price":39.1},{"date":"2026-10-09","price":38.53},{"date":"2026-10-10","price":38.28},{"date":"2026-10-11","price":38.28},{"date":"2026-10-12","price":37.96},{"date":"2026-10-13","price":37.12},{"date":"2026-10-14","price":36.43},{"date":"2026-10-15","price":36.43},{"date":"2026-10-16","price":36.43},{"date":"2026-10-17","price":36.43}],"series_key":"706948|Rainbow Foil","series_printing":"Rainbow Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Baalghor%2C%20Omen%20of%20the%20End%20Usurp%20the%20Shadow%20Throne%20Pre-release%20Cards&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Baalghor%2C%20Omen%20of%20the%20End%20Usurp%20the%20Shadow%20Throne%20Pre-release%20Cards&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"f2e101c824c8","game":"fab","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/f2e101c824c8","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/fab/builds/869d15e7ba559752/f2.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"page_headline":{"price":36.43,"printing":"Rainbow Foil","as_of":"2026-10-18","computed_by":"witness/src/render-card.ts _heroMarketPrice, _heroDisplayPrinting, heroAsOfDay: the functions the HTML page calls on this same record (build_shard below). Unrounded: the page prints whole dollars from $100."},"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field outside `_handle` is served verbatim from the build shard. Two `_handle` entries are computed: `provenance_fields` (from the record) and `page_headline` (the figure the page rendered from this build_shard heads with, by the page's own functions; a page served from the edge cache within an hour of a build change can still show the previous build)."}}