{"canonical_id_v02":"f6c3305d8103","identity":{"artist":"Ken Sugimori","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/xy12/36.png","locale":"en","name":"Raichu","number":"36/108","rarity":"Rare Holo","series_slug":"xy-evolutions","set_name":"Xy Evolutions","set_slug":"xy-evolutions","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Holofoil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","listed_median":null,"market_price":8.54}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T00:00:00Z","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":null,"latest_market_price":8.54,"primary_printing":"Holofoil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"tcgcsv_archive":242,"tcgcsv_forward":1638},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-06-30","ath_price":8.82,"atl_date":"2024-05-17","atl_price":1.93,"canonical_id_v02":"feeb2da64c7d","canonical_id_v03":"f6c3305d8103","canonical_id_v1":"b392f4d03c5d","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-1.84,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":2.28,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":6.48,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.33,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-3.17,"current_price":8.54,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":544,"history_n_obs":1880,"history_n_obs_series":940,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-06-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-02","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-01","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-31","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-12-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-12-19","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2025-11-15","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2024-05-17","delta_pct":-45.8,"label":"-46% off peak","price":1.93,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":96,"regime_entered_date":"2026-06-01","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":75,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":25},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":56,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":32},"regime_run_length_days":95,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-07-05","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-28","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-29","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-03","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-06","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-07","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-14","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-28","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-11-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-14","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-11-15","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-12-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-12-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-06-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-1.84,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":0.94,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":0.23,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"sticky_previous","margin":0,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":["Holofoil","Reverse Holofoil"]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":69.44,"return_30d_pct":2.28,"return_7d_pct":-0.12,"return_90d_pct":6.48,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":8.59},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":8.59},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":8.56},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":8.56},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":8.56},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":8.49},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.49},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":8.5},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.51},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":8.51},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":8.41},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":8.6},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":8.7},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":8.7},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":8.7},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":8.6},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.69},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":8.71},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":8.54},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":8.54},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":8.54},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":8.54}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":8.02},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":7.78},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":7.82},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":7.88},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":7.98},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":8.3},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":8.31},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":8.33},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":8.36},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":8.36},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":8.36},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":8.82},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":8.73},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":8.73},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":8.62},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":8.49},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":8.69},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":8.37},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":8.26},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":8.43},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":8.38},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":8.38},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":8.38},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":8.33},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":8.35},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":8.59},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":8.56},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":8.49},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":8.51},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":8.41},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":8.7},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":8.7},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":8.55},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":8.69},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":8.57},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":8.54},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":8.54}],"series_key":"124049|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Raichu%20Xy%20Evolutions&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/raichu","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Raichu%20Xy%20Evolutions&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"f6c3305d8103","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/f6c3305d8103","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/f6.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}