{"canonical_id_v02":"fbfa5cbd45fe","identity":{"artist":"Kouki Saitou","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/swsh45sv/SV014.png","locale":"en","name":"Appletun","number":"SV014/SV122","rarity":"Rare Shiny","series_slug":"shining-fates-shiny-vault","set_name":"Shining Fates Shiny Vault","set_slug":"shining-fates-shiny-vault","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"065295aaf7a72ee2","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-05T10:16:27Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.0"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:48:49.941094+00:00","listed_median":8.34,"market_price":7.77}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-04T20:48:49.941094+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":8.34,"latest_market_price":7.77,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":121,"tcgcsv_forward":819},"as_of_date":"2026-09-04","ath_date":"2026-06-29","ath_price":8.39,"atl_date":"2024-09-20","atl_price":1.77,"canonical_id_v02":"d6879252a03e","canonical_id_v03":"fbfa5cbd45fe","canonical_id_v1":"a520e5abe2a2","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":2.51,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":3.74,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-0.26,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":12,"HEATED":44},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":1.33,"cohort_median_90d_pct":6.25,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-7.39,"current_price":7.77,"history_first_date":"2024-02-08","history_last_date":"2026-09-04","history_n_distinct_closes":653,"history_n_obs":941,"history_n_obs_series":940,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-07-25","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-24","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-21","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-16","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-04-20","delta_pct":-29,"label":"-29% day-over-day","price":5.05,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2026-04-04","delta_pct":45.8,"label":"+46% day-over-day","price":6.53,"type":"outlier_spike"},{"date":"2024-09-20","delta_pct":-34.9,"label":"-35% off peak","price":1.77,"type":"drawdown_low"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":97,"regime_entered_date":"2026-07-25","regime_label":"CALM","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":66,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":34},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":60,"DRAWDOWN":5,"HEATED":35},"regime_run_length_days":41,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-06-12","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-13","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-06-16","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-06-19","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-07-02","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-07-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-04","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2025-08-10","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-01","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-26","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-30","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-04","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-05-21","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-05-29","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-16","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-21","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-23","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-24","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":2.51,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":2.4,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-6.51,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":82.39,"return_30d_pct":3.74,"return_7d_pct":4.02,"return_90d_pct":-0.26,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-05","price":7.49},{"date":"2026-08-06","price":7.49},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":7.7},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":7.7},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":7.65},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":7.65},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":7.4},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":7.4},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":7.4},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":7.4},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":7.28},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":7.35},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":7.36},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":7.36},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":7.38},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":7.58},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":7.58},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":7.55},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":7.5},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":7.42},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":7.45},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":7.45},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":7.47},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":7.52},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":7.56},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":7.56},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":7.59},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":7.58},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":7.7},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":7.77}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-06","price":7.79},{"date":"2026-06-08","price":7.74},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":7.74},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":6.7},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":6.83},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":8.21},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":8.16},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":8.07},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":8.13},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":8.01},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":7.91},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":8.09},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":8.39},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":7.11},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":7.73},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":7.77},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":7.77},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":7.93},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":7.93},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":7.99},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":7.98},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":8.05},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":7.81},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":7.74},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":7.68},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":7.59},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":7.61},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":7.53},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":7.54},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":7.53},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":7.49},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":7.7},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":7.65},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":7.4},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":7.4},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":7.28},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":7.23},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":7.36},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":7.58},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":7.55},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":7.42},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":7.45},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":7.52},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":7.56},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":7.58},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":7.77}],"series_key":"232361|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Appletun%20Shining%20Fates%20Shiny%20Vault&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/appletun","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Appletun%20Shining%20Fates%20Shiny%20Vault&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"fbfa5cbd45fe","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/fbfa5cbd45fe","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/065295aaf7a72ee2/fb.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}