{"canonical_id_v02":"fc0939a4c497","identity":{"artist":"Zack Stella","game":"mtg","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://cards.scryfall.io/normal/front/e/b/eb5237a0-5ac3-4ded-9f92-5f782a7bbbd7.jpg?1783910855","locale":"en","name":"Warren Warleader","number":"38","rarity":"mythic","series_slug":"bloomburrow","set_name":"Bloomburrow","set_slug":"bloomburrow","vintage":"modern_rotation"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"00f025b89d744f40","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-06T18:07:23Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:50:53.755835+00:00","listed_median":2.94,"market_price":2.8},"Normal":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:50:53.755835+00:00","listed_median":2.72,"market_price":2.73}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397 probes: 8 games, 43 rows, nearest condition NM 42/43 — Wilson 95% 88-100% — cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2% by bucket timing; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-06T01:50:53.755835+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":2.94,"latest_market_price":2.8,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Foil","primary_printing_resolution":"exact"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":2,"tcgcsv_archive":99,"tcgcsv_forward":1462},"as_of_date":"2026-09-06","ath_date":"2024-07-22","ath_price":15,"atl_date":"2026-05-09","atl_price":1.94,"canonical_id_v02":"fc0939a4c497","canonical_id_v03":null,"canonical_id_v1":null,"card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-6.98,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-18.84,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-2.1,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":38,"DRAWDOWN":23,"HEATED":39},"cohort_label":"mtg-en-raw-modern_rotation","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0.21,"cohort_median_90d_pct":5.41,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-81.33,"current_price":2.8,"history_first_date":"2024-07-22","history_last_date":"2026-09-06","history_n_distinct_closes":450,"history_n_obs":1563,"history_n_obs_series":777,"liquidity_tier":"T2","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-05-09","delta_pct":-87.1,"label":"-87% off peak","price":1.94,"type":"drawdown_low"},{"date":"2024-08-03","delta_pct":-49.5,"label":"-50% day-over-day","price":3.75,"type":"outlier_spike"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":32,"record_block_scope":"per_print_page","regime_entered_date":"2026-04-18","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":5,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":95},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":3,"DRAWDOWN":0,"HEATED":97},"regime_run_length_days":141,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2024-07-20","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-08-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-06","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-25","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-09-30","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-03","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-06","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-04-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-04-18","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-6.98,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-19.05,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-7.51,"series_printing":"Foil","series_printing_determinacy":{"base_decided_by":"total_tiebreak","base_series_printing":"Normal","decided_by":"per_print_page","margin":null,"n_candidates":2,"pool":null,"tie_members":[]}},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":13.36,"return_30d_pct":-18.84,"return_7d_pct":1.82,"return_90d_pct":-2.1,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-07","price":3.45},{"date":"2026-08-08","price":3.31},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":3.28},{"date":"2026-08-10","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":3.11},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":3.11},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":3.11},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":3.1},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":3.1},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":3.03},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.03},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":3.01},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":3.01},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":3.01},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.75},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":2.75},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.81},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":2.8},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":2.8}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-08","price":2.86},{"date":"2026-06-10","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-06-12","price":2.82},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":2.97},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":2.92},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":2.92},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":2.92},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":2.95},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":3.09},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":3.09},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":3.27},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":3.26},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":3.12},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":3.17},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":3.17},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":3.17},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":3.25},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":3.25},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":3.26},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":3.54},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":3.31},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":3.28},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":3.21},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":3.45},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":3.31},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":3.31},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":3.49},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":3.45},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":3.45},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":3.45},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":3.28},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":3.11},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":3.07},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":3.1},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":3.03},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":3.01},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":2.72},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":2.75},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":2.83},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":2.81},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":2.8}],"series_key":"558359|Foil","series_printing":"Foil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Warren%20Warleader%20Bloomburrow&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":null,"scryfall_url":"https://scryfall.com/search?q=Warren%20Warleader","tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Warren%20Warleader%20Bloomburrow&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"fc0939a4c497","game":"mtg","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/fc0939a4c497","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/mtg/builds/00f025b89d744f40/fc.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}