{"canonical_id_v02":"ff02f4c61e34","identity":{"artist":"Shimaris Yukichi","game":"pokemon","grade":"raw","image_url":"https://images.pokemontcg.io/zsv10pt5/129.png","locale":"en","name":"Dwebble","number":"129/086","rarity":"Illustration Rare","series_slug":"sv-black-bolt","set_name":"Sv Black Bolt","set_slug":"sv-black-bolt","vintage":"nascent"},"meta":{"build_inputs_sha":"27f56537cb13c4fa","confidence_tier":"T1_sales_derived","generated_at_utc":"2026-09-11T10:10:11Z","methodology_version":"v0.7","schema_version":"0.2.1"},"narrative":null,"price":{"bid_ask_spread_pct":null,"by_printing":{"Foil":{"buylist":null,"fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T16:34:49.999331+00:00","listed_median":58.33,"market_price":50.72}},"cohort_relative_zscore":null,"condition":"Near Mint","condition_basis":"TCGplayer market price per printing; the vendor's per-SKU history reads the same value for the Near Mint SKU (fu396/fu397/fu398 probes, two strata: 8 games, 43 rows at >= $5 — nearest condition NM 42/43, cent-equal 28/43, misses <= 2.2%; 5 games, 28 rows at >= $0.50 on year-old groups — nearest NM 27/28, cent-equal 16/28, misses <= 9.3%, the one miss a $1.29 card whose condition SKUs sit within cents; pooled nearest NM 69/71, Wilson 95% ~90-99%; a sample, not a definition)","fetched_at_utc":"2026-09-10T16:34:49.999331+00:00","latest_buylist":null,"latest_listed_median":58.33,"latest_market_price":50.72,"primary_printing":"Foil","primary_printing_in_record":"Holofoil","primary_printing_resolution":"bridged"},"similar_cards":[],"structure":{"_methodology_version":"v0.7","_source_breakdown":{"mpapi_live":1,"tcgcsv_archive":46,"tcgcsv_forward":373},"as_of_date":"2026-09-10","ath_date":"2026-07-11","ath_price":67.48,"atl_date":"2025-07-25","atl_price":16.35,"canonical_id_v02":"6565b074795a","canonical_id_v03":"ff02f4c61e34","canonical_id_v1":"c4f9b46ed4e4","card_r14d_pct_cohort_estimator":-5,"card_r30d_pct_cohort_estimator":-4.34,"card_r90d_pct_cohort_estimator":-20.95,"climatology_baseline_pct":{"CALM":33,"DRAWDOWN":20,"HEATED":47},"cohort_label":"pokemon-en-raw-nascent","cohort_median_14d_pct":0,"cohort_median_30d_pct":0,"cohort_median_90d_pct":3.03,"cohort_source":"derived","current_off_ath_pct":-24.84,"current_price":50.72,"history_first_date":"2025-07-19","history_last_date":"2026-09-10","history_n_distinct_closes":386,"history_n_obs":420,"history_n_obs_series":419,"liquidity_tier":"T1","notable_moments":[{"date":"2026-08-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-12","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-11","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-07-09","delta_pct":null,"label":"HEATED→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-23","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→HEATED","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-14","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-03-13","delta_pct":null,"label":"CALM→DRAWDOWN","price":null,"type":"regime_break"},{"date":"2026-02-27","delta_pct":null,"label":"DRAWDOWN→CALM","price":null,"type":"regime_break"}],"position_in_own_range_pctile":75,"regime_entered_date":"2026-08-11","regime_label":"HEATED","regime_occupancy_pct_1y":{"CALM":44,"DRAWDOWN":9,"HEATED":47},"regime_occupancy_pct_lifetime":{"CALM":45,"DRAWDOWN":8,"HEATED":47},"regime_run_length_days":30,"regime_transitions":[{"date":"2025-08-03","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-08-19","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-09-22","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-23","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-10-26","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2025-10-31","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2025-11-01","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-01-10","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-13","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-01-21","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-01-23","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-02-01","from":"HEATED","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-02-27","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-13","from":"CALM","to":"DRAWDOWN"},{"date":"2026-03-14","from":"DRAWDOWN","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-03-23","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-09","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-07-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"},{"date":"2026-07-12","from":"HEATED","to":"CALM"},{"date":"2026-08-11","from":"CALM","to":"HEATED"}],"residual_vs_cohort_14d_pct":-5,"residual_vs_cohort_30d_pct":-4.34,"residual_vs_cohort_90d_pct":-23.98,"residual_vs_set_90d_pct":-22.93,"series_printing":"Holofoil","series_printing_determinacy":{"decided_by":"count","margin":180,"n_candidates":2,"pool":"recent","tie_members":[]},"set_median_90d_pct_loo":1.98,"set_movers_share_90d":0.9659,"set_n_90d":323,"set_slug":"sv-black-bolt"},"trajectory":{"return_1y_pct":113.1092,"return_30d_pct":-4.338,"return_7d_pct":-1.5146,"return_90d_pct":-20.9476,"series_30d":[{"date":"2026-08-11","price":53.02},{"date":"2026-08-12","price":52.68},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":52.7},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":51.98},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":52.26},{"date":"2026-08-16","price":52.36},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":52.43},{"date":"2026-08-18","price":52.65},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":52.65},{"date":"2026-08-20","price":52.65},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":53.13},{"date":"2026-08-22","price":52.79},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":52.66},{"date":"2026-08-24","price":53.05},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":53.43},{"date":"2026-08-26","price":53.47},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":53.39},{"date":"2026-08-28","price":53.33},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":53.33},{"date":"2026-08-30","price":53.09},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":52.74},{"date":"2026-09-01","price":52.36},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":51.69},{"date":"2026-09-03","price":51.5},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":50.41},{"date":"2026-09-05","price":50.07},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":48.41},{"date":"2026-09-07","price":48.38},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":50.34},{"date":"2026-09-09","price":50.72},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":50.72}],"series_90d_thinned":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":64.16},{"date":"2026-06-14","price":63.67},{"date":"2026-06-16","price":62.13},{"date":"2026-06-18","price":62.06},{"date":"2026-06-20","price":62.34},{"date":"2026-06-22","price":62.59},{"date":"2026-06-24","price":63.02},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":63.56},{"date":"2026-06-28","price":63.66},{"date":"2026-06-30","price":63.1},{"date":"2026-07-02","price":64.49},{"date":"2026-07-04","price":65.6},{"date":"2026-07-06","price":65.69},{"date":"2026-07-08","price":65.82},{"date":"2026-07-10","price":66.69},{"date":"2026-07-12","price":67.19},{"date":"2026-07-14","price":66.45},{"date":"2026-07-16","price":66.43},{"date":"2026-07-18","price":65.2},{"date":"2026-07-20","price":64.94},{"date":"2026-07-22","price":64.1},{"date":"2026-07-24","price":62.83},{"date":"2026-07-26","price":62.59},{"date":"2026-07-28","price":62.31},{"date":"2026-07-30","price":62.7},{"date":"2026-08-01","price":61.31},{"date":"2026-08-03","price":59.21},{"date":"2026-08-05","price":57.99},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":57.35},{"date":"2026-08-09","price":55.59},{"date":"2026-08-11","price":53.02},{"date":"2026-08-13","price":52.7},{"date":"2026-08-15","price":52.26},{"date":"2026-08-17","price":52.43},{"date":"2026-08-19","price":52.65},{"date":"2026-08-21","price":53.13},{"date":"2026-08-23","price":52.66},{"date":"2026-08-25","price":53.43},{"date":"2026-08-27","price":53.39},{"date":"2026-08-29","price":53.33},{"date":"2026-08-31","price":52.74},{"date":"2026-09-02","price":51.69},{"date":"2026-09-04","price":50.41},{"date":"2026-09-06","price":48.41},{"date":"2026-09-08","price":50.34},{"date":"2026-09-10","price":50.72}],"series_key":"642584|Holofoil","series_printing":"Holofoil"},"vendor_links":{"cardmarket_url":null,"ebay_search_url":"https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=Dwebble%20Sv%20Black%20Bolt&mkcid=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0&campid=5339074870&toolid=10001","pokemontcg_url":"https://pokemontcg.io/cards/dwebble","scryfall_url":null,"tcgplayer_url":"https://www.tcgplayer.com/search/all/product?q=Dwebble%20Sv%20Black%20Bolt&partner=7060428&utm_campaign=affiliate&utm_medium=tcgvibes&utm_source=tcgvibes"},"_handle":{"canonical_id":"ff02f4c61e34","game":"pokemon","html":"https://tcgvibes.com/cards/ff02f4c61e34","methodology":"https://tcgvibes.com/methodology","witness_chain":"https://tcgvibes-witness.jjk91525.workers.dev/chain/latest","build_shard":"cards/pokemon/builds/27f56537cb13c4fa/ff.json","provenance_fields":["price.fetched_at_utc","price.latest_market_price","price.primary_printing","meta.build_inputs_sha","meta.methodology_version","meta.schema_version","meta.confidence_tier","meta.generated_at_utc"],"reading":"`provenance_fields` lists the provenance keys THIS record actually carries, derived from it rather than written down: the price.* entries name the OBSERVATION, the meta.* entries identify the BUILD and the RULE that derived it. The witness chain carries the per-day envelope with its own code_commit and prev_hash. Every field here is served verbatim from the build shard — this block points, it never restates."}}