The First Chapter

Activity

Elsa - Spirit of Winter made the set's biggest move, -66% to $3.38. 70 cards broke away from the set's shared move over the 28-day window, quieter than most Lorcana sets (16.4 per 100 cards vs. a 38.6 median). 39 moved up, 31 moved down.

How Lorcana sets usually behave

Value concentrates hard: across 16 measured Lorcana sets, the single top card typically holds about 15% of a set's total card value.

New sets have typically settled about 35% below their release-week price, with most of that easing done within roughly 13 weeks.

Over the first 30 weeks after release, that easing runs about 28% deeper than the market's own drift.

Across 71,958 measured breakaway moves in our archive, upward moves outnumber drops about 1.5 to 1.